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Oracle (ORCL) Cloud Revenue Jumps 121% and its Backlog Hits $664 Billion. Can it Actually Deliver?

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Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) reported on September 10 that its income rose 30% in the fiscal first quarter, pushed by a 121% bounce in cloud infrastructure income. Cloud infrastructure is the business that rents computing energy to AI corporations.

The company also said its remaining efficiency obligations, which are the worth of contracts it has signed but not yet delivered, reached $664 billion, more than seven occasions the income it expects this 12 months. On the back of that backlog, Oracle raised its full-year income outlook to at least $90 billion.

CFO Hilary Maxson said that if she had to describe the quarter in one phrase, it would be “acceleration.”

Oracle (ORCL) Cloud Revenue Jumps 121% and Its Backlog Hits $664 Billion. Can It Actually Deliver?

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AI Demand Could Turn Cloud Infrastructure Into Oracle’s Biggest Business:

The backlog is the core of the growth story. Oracle said roughly half of the backlog should flip into income within three years, which is more than thrice what the company expects to accumulate in the complete of this 12 months.

According to Gartner, worldwide AI spending is expected to attain $2.59 trillion in 2026, more than half of it on infrastructure, and Oracle has positioned itself as a provider of that capability.

The latest contracts are also higher for Oracle’s steadiness sheet. It signed more than $30 billion of new AI cloud offers in the quarter, and management said most of those were structured as prepayments or prospects bringing their own {hardware}. That limits how much of its own money Oracle wants to serve them.

Building the Data Centers Is Burning Cash:

Most of the build-out still comes from Oracle’s own steadiness sheet. The company spent $28.5 billion on knowledge facilities and gear in a single quarter, more than the money its business generated. Free money circulate stayed destructive, as it was for all of last 12 months, and gross margin fell more than 5 factors in a single quarter, to 61%. A day after the outcomes, Oracle expanded its job-cut plan, a signal of how onerous the build-out is urgent on money.

There is also a focus risk. OpenAI signed a $300 billion contract with Oracle last 12 months that begins in 2027, and that single deal is close to half of the present backlog. OpenAI is still dropping money, so Oracle is borrowing to construct capability at the moment against a fee stream that has not began, from a buyer whose capacity to pay over 5 years is not assured.

The issues of a potential AI bubble current a broader risk. If AI investment slows or hyperscalers pull back spending, the demand Oracle is building for could shrink before the knowledge facilities are completed.

Conclusion:

Oracle’s first quarter reveals that demand for its AI infrastructure is actual and already contracted, giving it several years of income growth. However, the price of delivering that backlog, the dependence on OpenAI, and the chance of a slowdown in AI spending stay key issues. Management has pointed to an investor day in October for a fuller plan on margins and money circulate, and that is where the market will look for solutions before the next quarterly report in December.

Market Sentiment:

Oracle Corporation was held by 119 hedge funds with a mixed stake worth of about $7 billion at the finish of Q2 2026 in the Insider Monkey database. This is up from 115 hedge fund holders with a cumulative investment worth of just over $5.5 billion in the earlier quarter.

While we acknowledge the potential of ORCL as an investment, we believe certain AI shares offer larger upside potential and carry less draw back risk. If you’re trying for an extraordinarily undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit considerably from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring development, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: Oracle Adds $700 Million to the Cost of its AI Transformation and Constellation Energy (CEG) Defies the Utility Slump. Can its Nuclear Edge Drive More Gains?

This article is initially printed at Insider Monkey.



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